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当心“独角兽”业绩难追高估值

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年05月22日 08:55:32
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(  炜)(言)(大)(义)(本)(报)(记)(者)(张)(炜)(
  作)(为)(A股)(首)(家)(顶)(着)(“独)(角)(兽)(”光)(环)(的)(IPO企)(业)(,药)(明)(康)(德)(5月)(8日)(上)(市)(毫)(无)(悬)(念)(地)(顶)(格)(上)(涨)(44%,5月)(9日)(一)(字)(涨)(停)(。
  药)(明)(康)(德)(成)(为)(中)(国)(证)(监)(会)(支)(持)(新)(经)(济)(企)(业)(上)(市)(后)(的)(首)(个)(A股)(“独)(角)(兽)(”。该)(公)(司)(是)(中)(国)(规)(模)(最)(大)(、全)(球)(排)(名)(前)(列)(的)(小)(分)(子)(医)(药)(研)(发)(服)(务)(企)(业)(,被)(市)(场)(誉)(为)(“医)(药)(界)(华)(为)(”。招)(股)(证)(明)(书)(显)(示)(,药)(明)(康)(德)(2015年)(至)(2017年)(归)(属)(于)(母)(公)(司)(股)(东)(的)(净)(利)(润)(分)(别)(为)(34896.77万)(元)(、97498.03万)(元)(、122709.35万)(元)(。
  药)(明)(康)(德)(上)(市)(受)(到)(关)(注)(。有)(券)(商)(预)(测)(认)(为)(,药)(明)(康)(德)(发)(行)(价)(相)(比)(行)(业)(平)(均)(市)(盈)(率)(存)(在)(较)(大)(折)(价)(,预)(计)(上)(市)(后)(上)(涨)(空)(间)(较)(大)(。科)(学)(研)(究)(和)(技)(术)(服)(务)(业)(最)(近)(一)(个)(月)(平)(均)(静)(态)(市)(盈)(率)(为)(65.32倍)(,若)(药)(明)(康)(德)(市)(盈)(率)(达)(到)(65倍)(左)(右)(时)(开)(板)(,大)(概)(有)(连)(续)(8个)(涨)(停)(。更)(有)(投)(资)(者)(预)(期)(,近)(期)(新)(股)(市)(场)(回)(暖)(,4月)(上)(市)(的)(新)(股)(平)(均)(一)(字)(板)(涨)(停)(数)(量)(达)(8.3个)(,创)(近)(半)(年)(新)(高)(。药)(明)(康)(德)(顶)(着)(首)(只)(“独)(角)(兽)(”的)(光)(环)(,或)(有)(可)(能)(连)(续)(16个)(涨)(停)(板)(。
  引)(人)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,香)(港)(股)(市)(近)(期)(也)(迎)(来)(“独)(角)(兽)(”公)(司)(。平)(安)(好)(医)(生)(作)(为)(“互)(联)(网)(医)(疗)(第)(一)(股)(”,上)(市)(第)(二)(个)(交)(易)(日)((5月)(7日)()开)(盘)(就)(跌)(破)(54.80港)(元)(的)(发)(行)(价)(,盘)(中)(最)(低)(跌)(至)(48.9港)(元)(,收)(盘)(52.75港)(元)(。5月)(8日)(,平)(安)(好)(医)(生)(反)(弹)(至)(53.8港)(元)(收)(盘)(。平)(安)(好)(医)(生)(是)(一)(家)(尚)(未)(盈)(利)(就)(上)(市)(的)(企)(业)(,不)(同)(于)(药)(明)(康)(德)(业)(绩)(增)(长)(。不)(过)(,两)(家)(“独)(角)(兽)(”公)(司)(登)(陆)(A股)(与)(港)(股)(的)(股)(价)(表)(现)(差)(异)(,主)(要)(反)(映)(出)(两)(大)(市)(场)(间)(的)(差)(别)(,包)(括)(发)(行)(机)(制)(、市)(场)(风)(格)(等)(方)(面)(。有)(统)(计)(显)(示)(,2017年)(港)(股)(上)(市)(的)(167家)(公)(司)(中)(,上)(市)(首)(日)(股)(价)(上)(涨)(的)(比)(例)(为)(67.7%。换)(言)(之)(,逾)(三)(成)(新)(股)(在)(港)(上)(市)(之)(初)(可)(能)(遭)(遇)(破)(发)(。
  众)(安)(在)(线)(、阅)(文)(集)(团)(、易)(鑫)(集)(团)(、雷)(蛇)(等)(去)(年)(下)(半)(年)(以)(来)(在)(港)(上)(市)(的)(新)(经)(济)(企)(业)(,目)(前)(均)(遭)(遇)(跌)(破)(发)(行)(价)(的)(尴)(尬)(。众)(安)(在)(线)(是)(一)(家)(有)(“三)(马)(”光)(环)(的)(互)(联)(网)(保)(险)(公)(司)(,股)(东)(包)(括)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(董)(事)(局)(主)(席)(马)(云)(、腾)(讯)(董)(事)(会)(主)(席)(马)(化)(腾)(及)(平)(安)(保)(险)(董)(事)(长)(马)(明)(哲)(。众)(安)(在)(线)(在)(港)(公)(开)(发)(售)(部)(分)(曾)(获)(得)(超)(额)(认)(购)(逾)(390倍)(,发)(行)(价)(59.7港)(元)(,上)(市)(后)(的)(第)(6个)(交)(易)(日)(最)(高)(飙)(涨)(至)(97.8港)(元)(。但)(众)(安)(在)(线)(5月)(8日)(收)(盘)(52.3港)(元)(,较)(高)(点)(累)(计)(回)(落)(超)(过)(45%。
  作)(为)(全)(球)(顶)(级)(游)(戏)(设)(备)(品)(牌)(之)(一)(的)(雷)(蛇)(,去)(年)(11月)(13日)(上)(市)(,开)(盘)(报)(5.12港)(元)(,较)(3.88港)(元)(的)(发)(行)(价)(大)(涨)(31.96%。然)(而)(,雷)(蛇)(如)(同)(复)(制)(了)(当)(年)(中)(国)(石)(油)(A股)(上)(市)(后)(的)(股)(价)(走)(势)(,连)(续)(下)(跌)(至)(今)(未)(止)(步)(。该)(股)(5月)(8日)(收)(盘)(2.49港)(元)(,较)(上)(市)(首)(日)(开)(盘)(价)(累)(计)(跌)(去)(一)(半)(以)(上)(,较)(发)(行)(价)(则)(套)(牢)(约)(35%。
  新)(经)(济)(企)(业)(在)(港)(上)(市)(股)(价)(连)(遭)(“滑)(铁)(卢)(”,反)(映)(出)(港)(股)(市)(场)(以)(机)(构)(投)(资)(者)(为)(主)(,对)(业)(绩)(盈)(亏)(及)(估)(值)(高)(低)(较)(为)(敏)(感)(。雷)(蛇)(2015年)(至)(2017年)(连)(续)(亏)(损)(,且)(亏)(损)(金)(额)(逐)(年)(上)(升)(。众)(安)(在)(线)(2017年)(虽)(保)(费)(收)(入)(增)(长)(74.7%,但)(由)(上)(年)(盈)(利)(937万)(元)(变)(成)(亏)(损)(9.97亿)(元)(。阅)(文)(集)(团)(是)(腾)(讯)(旗)(下)(经)(营)(网)(络)(文)(学)(的)(平)(台)(,系)(“网)(络)(文)(学)(第)(一)(股)(”,2017年)(净)(利)(润)(5.561亿)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(长)(1415%。不)(过)(,阅)(文)(集)(团)(估)(值)(超)(过)(了)(腾)(讯)(控)(股)(,成)(为)(其)(股)(价)(去)(年)(11月)(上)(市)(以)(来)(下)(跌)(三)(分)(之)(一)(以)(上)(的)(主)(因)(之)(一)(。
  对)(A股)(投)(资)(者)(来)(说)(,新)(经)(济)(企)(业)(在)(港)(遭)(“滑)(铁)(卢)(”值)(得)(引)(以)(为)(戒)(。A股)(市)(场)(率)(先)(上)(市)(的)(“独)(角)(兽)(”有)(望)(业)(绩)(表)(现)(较)(好)(,但)(仍)(要)(防)(范)(业)(绩)(增)(长)(难)(以)(追)(上)(高)(估)(值)(。炒)(新)(陋)(习)(难)(改)(,次)(新)(股)(“过)(山)(车)(”屡)(屡)(上)(演)(,对)(此)(,散)(户)(投)(资)(者)(要)(当)(心)(被)(“割)(韭)(菜)(”。一)(旦)(新)(上)(市)(的)(“独)(角)(兽)(”打)(开)(连)(续)(涨)(停)(板)(,散)(户)(投)(资)(者)(该)(思)(考)(估)(值)(是)(否)(已)(经)(泡)(沫)(化)(。假)(如)(以)(过)(高)(的)(估)(值)(盲)(目)(追)(入)(,那)(将)(不)(是)(分)(享)(新)(经)(济)(成)(长)(的)(成)(果)(,而)(是)(面)(临)(长)(期)(深)(套)(的)(风)(险)(。
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